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To reverse a decade of compromising overall aspect productivity, local labour market policy is moving from basic task development to managing active labor force shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more typical as firms integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil profits structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the priority is reinforcing financial durability through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, handled labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented global environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic need and restored investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outperform most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of reduced foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate more investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to relieve inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services stay essential development chauffeurs, supported by population development and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has been available in structure varied, durable and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring speed, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is real, however rather a basic shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international company outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what comes next, including the expansion and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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